The official announcement of GTA 6 is slow to come from Take-Two and Rockstar, but the game’s release date seems to be approaching years again 2024/2022. The latest financial report of the group could indeed contain a new index which would go in this direction.
GTA 6 again mentioned by analysts
It will not have escaped your notice that Take-Two has just launched the biggest takeover in the history of video games with that of Zynga for 12,7 billion dollars . But analysts took the opportunity to study the company’s growth prospects, and believe that the figures reveal the release of the new GTA.
As reported by Axios, the leaders of Take-Two took advantage of the takeover of Zynga to announce a prospect of 14 % annual growth until 2023.
According to an analyst at investment bank Jefferies, there are only a handful of games that can give Take-Two management the confidence to issue such strong guidance. “We believe there is at least one Rockstar IP that will be released by the fiscal year 2025” 
, he clarified.
Doug Creutz, analyst at Cowen, another investment bank, translated the figures mentioned by Take-Two and estimates that they represent no less than 9 billion dollars in revenue, with “likely launch of GTA 6 during fiscal year 2024”.
The fiscal year 2025 of Take-Two will take place between April 1 2023 and the 31 March 2024. The release of GTA 6 during this period is thus envisaged.
The release of GTA 6 was also mentioned by journalists and insiders
During summer 2021, it was the journalist and insider Tom Henderson who claimed that the game should not see the light of day before 2024 Where 2025. One of the reasons is that Rockstar would now like to avoid the crunch of its teams and give more space to the well-being of its employees.
For his part, Jason Schreier had also corroborated Tom Henderson’s information by stating that “everything Tom Henderson said about the game is what I heard”.
It took eight years of development to see Red Dead Redemption 2 arrive and there is no doubt that GTA 6 will demand he also many years to the developers to refine their baby down to the smallest detail as we are used to. The next appointment for the franchise remains the release of GTA V on Xbox Series X in a prettier version in March 2022.
Tom Henderson had also suggested that GTA 6 would take place in a more modern version of Vice City, which could grow in size with new areas over time. time.
Like what he had already done with Battlefield and which turned out to be right when the game was announced, he drew a concept of GTA 6 in which we see a woman who seems to be holding an AK-47 in front of a luxury car. In the background are palm trees, modern buildings and fighter jets as well as a strange figure in the air who could use a jet pack.
- Concept of GTA 6 by Tom Henderson
- Take Two investments over the fiscal year 2023
Substantial investments to come for Take-Two
Who else thinks GTA 6 might come in 2023? We can quote Jeff Cohen, of the investment company Stephens. He had dissected the document called Form 10-K from Take-Two, a rather long financial document which among other things mentioned the company’s plans and its future investments.
This document detailed the expenses of Take-Two each year for the next 5 years. While a peak in marketing expenditure was initially planned for 2023, this is now planned for the fiscal year 2023, i.e. from April 1 2023 to 31 March 2024, as shown in the graph below. Take-Two has therefore planned to release more cash over this period, no doubt to support the release of a major project. But with the COVID crisis, it will be necessary to scrutinize the next report to see if the calendar changes.
GTA 6 release after 2022: right in the next-gen
What could justify such an increase in marketing expenses which are simply doubled compared to other years to reach the 358,2 million dollars?
Jeff Cohen explained that such an increase in investments usually accompanies a big game release. A similar increase had been seen even before Red Dead Redemption 2 was announced, and had thus predicted the arrival of a big game. So it would be the same for the release of GTA 6.
[La direction de Take-Two] spoke confidently about the pipeline for the next five years and the execution of live services has been excellent. However, the timing of the next Grand Theft Auto remains a priority for investors, especially with stocks near their all-time highs.
If the theory is confirmed and history repeats itself, then GTA 6 could well be released between April 2023 and March 2023. But plans have no doubt evolved since, and we will scrutinize the company’s next investment report which, if the information from the latest sources is verified, should delay this sudden increase in investments.
In any case, Take-Two would benefit from a fairly large installed base of Xbox Series X and PS5, but also from millions of players who would probably not have yet taken the plunge on next-gen consoles and who would remain on Xbox One and PS4. It remains to be seen what Take-Two has planned for its GTA Online golden egg hen. More than a year ago, Kotaku indicated that GTA 6 was only at the beginning of its development and that the game might be a little more modest in size.